27/02/2026

WTF is going on with the search traffic now?

Gartner predicts that traditional search volume may drop in 2026. Other traffic sources gain momentum heavily impacting traffic volumes and click-through rates

WTF is going on with the search traffic now?

The dynamics of search traffic are undergoing transformative changes. Dramatic changes, one can say. It’s reshaping how brands attract and engage consumers. The strategies that worked for 20 years do not work anymore. Traditional avenues of organic search are giving way to new and innovative channels that redefine customer connection.

When organic search traffic declines, it indicates that fewer people are actively searching for specific queries. This reduced search volume impacts the pool of potential clicks on paid advertisements. With unstable organic search paid search, the cost of ad placements is rising.

Google’s Search Engine Results Page (SERP) has evolved significantly over the years, moving beyond a simple list of organic search results to include a host of additional features and paid promotions. These developments have led to discussions in the marketing community regarding user feelings about trust, transparency, and the implications of this change on search behavior.

The current TIER of SERPs often includes: paid ads at the top and bottom of the page, local packs (for businesses) and maps for more visually engaging results, featured snippets, people also ask sections, and knowledge panels that provide direct answers to search queries. This structure can make it seem as if Google is prioritizing its own services and paid listings over organic search results, which might distort a user’s perception of their search experience.

Many searches are completed without users clicking through to external sites, a phenomenon referred to as zero-click searches. Data indicates that about 80% of users resolve searches without further clicks, which raises concerns about lost traffic for brands and publishers.

Some marketers started to express concern that increasing reliance on sponsored content and SERP features will lead users to feel that search results are biased or manipulated.

Decline of Organic Traffic

Competition for organic search visibility has intensified. According to data from Ocula Tech (2026), there has been a 25% drop in traditional search volume as newer brands crowd the space. Google’s continuous updates to its algorithms prioritize different content formats and types, allowing for greater variability in what ranks well. The nuances of these changes often lead to fluctuating visibility for established players.

Moreover, users are increasingly seeking quick answers and may gravitate towards paid ads or highlighted features instead of scrolling through organic results. This behavior shift is creating a compressing effect on organic visibility. Many critics argue that Google’s emphasis on paid advertisements and its own services, like Google Shopping and Maps, undermines the visibility and effectiveness of organic search results. This can lead to a perception that users are being misled toward sponsored content rather than the most relevant information.

The diverse content types (videos, blogs, podcasts) seems to be a good option to capture a wider audience.

Decline of Paid Search Traffic

With all this turmoil with organic search more brands try to invest in paid search instead, the cost of ad placements is rising. This creates a more competitive bidding landscape, which can lead to higher Customer Acquisition Costs (CAC). If users perceive less value in organic results – perhaps due to overwhelming ads or content saturation—they may become less likely to conduct searches altogether. This can lead to lower overall engagement with search engines, affecting both organic and paid traffic. That’s the indicator of consumer behavior shift.

But it’s not the main reason and the main shift in the consumer behavior. We will be back to Google in a couple of paragraphs.

Increasing Role of Referral Traffic

The Search Engine Land (Feb 2026) report indicates that referral traffic growth is largely fueled by social media engagement, with businesses leveraging platforms like Instagram and TikTok for outreach. Engaging influencers can spur exponential referral traffic. With the right partnerships, brands can tap into established audiences, driving significant sales. This approach leverages the influencer’s established audience to drive traffic and sales, often at a level that exceeds traditional marketing methods.

Brands choose influencers whose audience aligns with their target demographic. Influencers try to create authentic content that showcases the brand’s product or service. Content shared by influencers tends to feel more genuine (still), enhancing credibility. Followers of the influencer are more likely to engage with content presented by someone they trust. More engaged audiences often translate to increased sales and conversions.

It makes that companies are now focusing on Community Management strategies that foster brand interactions, leading users to shop via posted links or community-based promotions. User generated content works again. More and more brads encourage customers to share their experiences, fostering authentic interactions and promoting brand visibility.

Emergence of New Referral Sources

As BigCommerce (2026) notes, LLMs are evolving into vital traffic sources. This growth influences how customers discover products, as conversational AI makes information retrieval more interactive. A study of University of Hamburg & Frankfurt School found that while referral traffic from ChatGPT accounts for more than 90% of e-commerce traffic derived from LLMs, it represents less than 0.2% of total traffic across e-commerce sites, which indicates that while LLMs are growing, they still have a modest impact on overall traffic. Conversion rates are improving, yet are still lower compared to traditional channels.

On the other hand Previsible AI Traffic Report tracked significant growth in traffic from LLMs, rising from about 17,000 to 107,000 sessions in just one year, showcasing a 527% year-over-year increase. This notable growth indicates that LLMs are starting to play a more measurable role in website discovery, signaling a changing landscape for online traffic generation.

A survey conducted by Arc Intermedia revealed that 58% of consumers have used generative AI tools for product or service recommendations, a substantial rise from 25% the previous year. LLMs are becoming mainstream, handling over 2 billion queries daily, thus reshaping how consumers interact with brands.

According to industry reports, as of 2025, 67% of organizations have adopted LLMs, with 63% of marketers prioritizing generative search optimization (GEO) in their strategies. This adaptive trend highlights the recognition of LLMs as vital traffic sources that influence consumer behavior and brand visibility. LLMs leverage data from multiple platforms, enhancing referral diversity. Content cited from platforms like YouTube and podcasts showcases a trend where brands need to optimize for a range of citation formats.

Businesses now need to consider how they appear in LLM-derived responses, requiring an adjustment in SEO/GEO strategy – from traditional keyword focus to more context-based and semantic relevancy. The other option is to wait for adaption of paid ads in AI suggestions.

How LLMs have impacted search? The study of DataSlayer (Nov 2025) reported a 61% decline in organic click-through rates (CTR) due to the emergence of AI Overviews. Similarly, paid search CTRs experienced a 68% drop, reflecting a significant behavioral change as users increasingly prefer synthesized answers over traditional link lists.

What will happen in 2026 with search traffic?

Gartner predicts that traditional search volume may drop by 25% by 2026, primarily due to the adoption of AI tools and chatbots for information retrieval. This predicted decline suggests that fewer searches will result in decreased landing page traffic through conventional search channels.

Although LLM referral traffic accounts for less than 1% of total website sessions, it has grown 527% year-over-year. Organic search still drives about 31.9% of sessions, but the rapid growth in AI traffic indicates significant upcoming shifts in user behavior and traffic sourcing.

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